Dear Allin,

From the previos discussion
I came to think
arima uses standardize(y) + 1

But it is not so:

open greene5_1.gdt
set bfgs_verbskip 999

pops = (pop-mean(pop))/sd(pop)+1
catch arima 0  0; 1 0 ; pop --verbose  
arima 0 0; 1 0; pop --x-12-arima
arima 0 0; 1 0; pops --x-12-arima
arima 0 0; 1 0; pops

What is current scaling (if any)?
Oleh