Humm, Rodrigo, let me digest "Inferences using Instrumental variable estimators" first. I'll get back to you ASAP. Let me understand the stuff in the paper first. Thanks for critical explanation.


From: Rodrigo Alfaro Arancibia <ralfaro@fen.uchile.cl>
To: Gretl list <gretl-users@lists.wfu.edu>
Sent: Friday, June 1, 2012 4:00 PM
Subject: Re: [Gretl-users] 2SLS without HAC standard errors

Interesting result.
 
In the standard OLS framework moving from normal SE to robust ones usually implies higher SE's and therefore reducing t-stats, which also 'reduces promising-results'. However, in 2SLS framework one of the main problem is the bias of the estimator, which of course affects the estimate of the robust SE's, leading to a dirty t-stat. So, let's move to the bias issue.
 
I did explore it years ago (http://www.bcentral.cl/eng/studies/working-papers/pdf/dtbc464.pdf). If you check the Monte Carlo section in the paper, you will see in Tables 2 to 5 that 2SLS-bias increases with both endogeneity (rho) and the number of instruments (K), this is of course a standard results. But moving to Tables 6 to 9, I did robust inference which is the main point of your question. So, let's assume that your empirical problem implies a low 2SLS-bias as in the case rho=0.3 and K=5, you could see that for all designs considered there is not a significance distorsion in the rejection frequency meaning that for 'almost-unbiased' estimators robust SE's shouldn't affect your inference. It could be the case that your 2SLS estimator is biased, meaning the 'promising-results' could be 'wrong-results'.
 
Maybe you could add to the discussion bootstrapping SE and reporting coeff (non-robust SE) [robust SE or bootstrap SE], adding in text the standard 'on the one hand... on the other hand ". 
 
Best, Rodrigo.  

2012/6/1 Allin Cottrell <cottrell@wfu.edu>
On Fri, 1 Jun 2012, Anutechia Asongu wrote:

My 2SLS results without HAC standard errors are promising whereas those with HAC standard errors are not. Hitherto, I have been used to robust HAC standard errors in my estimations. I'll like to enquire if a  sound case could be made for presenting results without HAC standard errors.

If in tests for heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation the null is not rejected, one could argue that HAC estimation is just introducing noise. On the other hand, if the HAC standard errors differ substantially from the "classical" ones, that suggests that the errors are not i.i.d.

Allin Cottrell

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