gretl version 2021a Current session: 2021-02-01 09:07 ? set verbose off Starting values Pi: 0.000397 0.000064 -0.050955 0.133430 0.048358 0.002170 C: 0.000467 0.000000 0.000084 0.000448 A: 0.400000 0.000000 0.000000 0.400000 B: 0.900000 0.000000 0.000000 0.900000 10: Criterion 16627.1439457 (step 6.4e-05, norm 6.96e+00) 20: Criterion 16639.9354776 (step 0.2, norm 6.70e+00) 30: Criterion 16652.2439366 (step 1, norm 3.15e+00) 40: Criterion 16653.4840924 (step 2.048e-08, norm 1.68e+00) 50: Criterion 16653.5545298 (step 0.008, norm 2.29e+00) 60: Criterion 16653.7788126 (step 0.2, norm 1.23e+00) 70: Criterion 16653.8324826 (step 1, norm 5.57e-01) 80: Criterion 16653.8374905 (step 0.0016, norm 7.16e-01) 90: Criterion 16653.8380972 (step 0.2, norm 2.49e-01) --- FINAL VALUES: Criterion 16653.8381579 (step 8.192e-10, norm 3.64e-02) Function evaluations: 466 Evaluations of gradient: 94 BEKK Model --- vcvtype = QMLE (Sandwich) Conditional mean equations: Equation 1: spx_return coefficient std. error z p-value -------------------------------------------------------------- const 0.000712991 0.000165512 4.308 1.65e-05 *** spx_return_1 -0.0627606 0.0236555 -2.653 0.0080 *** ftse_return_1 0.0369226 0.0212449 1.738 0.0822 * Equation 2: ftse_return coefficient std. error z p-value -------------------------------------------------------------- const 0.000331985 0.000161217 2.059 0.0395 ** spx_return_1 0.115157 0.0253740 4.538 5.67e-06 *** ftse_return_1 -0.0237711 0.0233471 -1.018 0.3086 Conditional variance parameters: coefficient std. error z p-value ------------------------------------------------------------ C[ 1, 1] 0.00112042 0.000408521 2.743 0.0061 *** C[ 2, 1] -0.00352084 0.000356764 -9.869 5.68e-23 *** C[ 1, 2] 0.00000 0.00000 NA NA C[ 2, 2] 4.75878e-09 1.36761e-07 0.03480 0.9722 coefficient std. error z p-value ------------------------------------------------------- A[ 1, 1] 0.363313 0.0406707 8.933 4.14e-19 *** A[ 2, 1] -0.260204 0.0814664 -3.194 0.0014 *** A[ 1, 2] 0.119805 0.0381856 3.137 0.0017 *** A[ 2, 2] 0.318363 0.0496000 6.419 1.38e-10 *** coefficient std. error z p-value ------------------------------------------------------- B[ 1, 1] 0.925578 0.0125063 74.01 0.0000 *** B[ 2, 1] 0.249773 0.0701406 3.561 0.0004 *** B[ 1, 2] -0.137171 0.0754339 -1.818 0.0690 * B[ 2, 2] 0.754724 0.0368823 20.46 4.60e-93 *** Sample size = 2451 Average loglikelihood = 6.79471