In the window of the Johansen cointegration test I selected lag order 6; GDP and NDB in Variables to test; bnprivatefinancingdummy in Exogenous variables (Unrestricted) and at the botton Unrestricted constant. And the output is,
Johansen test:
Number of equations = 2
Lag order = 6
Estimation period: 1959 - 2014 (T = 56)
Case 3: Unrestricted constant
Exogenous regressor(s): bnprivatefinancingdummy
Log-likelihood = 280.81 (including constant term: 121.889)
Cointegration tests, ignoring exogenous variables
Rank Eigenvalue Trace test p-value Lmax test p-value
0 0.30870 26.346 [0.0006] 20.674 [0.0033]
1 0.096321 5.6718 [0.0172] 5.6718 [0.0172]
Corrected for sample size (df = 42)
Rank Trace test p-value
0 26.346 [0.0008]
1 5.6718 [0.0210]
Note: in general, the test statistics above are valid only in the
absence of additional regressors.
eigenvalue 0.30870 0.096321
beta (cointegrating vectors)
baGDP -13.181 -9.6509
bdNDB 2.6539 3.3911
alpha (adjustment vectors)
baGDP 0.015526 -0.0053853
bdNDB -0.046274 -0.077268
renormalized beta
baGDP 1.0000 -2.8460
bdNDB -0.20135 1.0000
renormalized alpha
baGDP -0.20465 -0.018262
bdNDB 0.60993 -0.26202
long-run matrix (alpha * beta')
baGDP bdNDB
baGDP -0.15267 0.022943
bdNDB 1.3556 -0.38483