Hi everyone!, I have the same problem with arima forecasting (SARIMA
actually)
The problem is that I need to forecast Y for 1, 7, 14 and 28 leads. Meaning
that I need for example.
But T is dynamic. First I take T=1/10/2006 and want the prediction for
28/10/2006, when I have it, take 2/10/2006 and forecast 29/6/2006 and so on.
Is there an easy way to do it in gretl?
Thanks
Mauricio Giacometti
----- Original Message -----
From: <walgula(a)wp.pl>
To: "Gretl list" <gretl-users(a)lists.wfu.edu>
Sent: Thursday, June 21, 2007 3:59 AM
Subject: Re: [Gretl-users] arima forecasting
Thanks Allin, it works;)
----- Original Message -----
From: "Allin Cottrell" <cottrell(a)wfu.edu>
To: "Gretl list" <gretl-users(a)lists.wfu.edu>
Sent: Thursday, June 21, 2007 3:53 AM
Subject: Re: [Gretl-users] arima forecasting
> On Wed, 20 Jun 2007, walgula(a)wp.pl wrote:
>
>> Hello, I'm trying to use an a raima model to forecasting. How to write a
>> script that forecasts forwards some variable? I've dataset/file that
>> includes "X" observations in time and i want to forecast this
>> observation in time hour+1 or hour+2 forewards. How to do it? I know
>> that I should to use "fcast" or "fcasterr" functions, but i
don't know
>> how to get time parameters.
>
> Example:
>
> # open Ramanathan hourly data set
> open data10-2.gdt
> # arma (1,1) for electricity usage
> arima 1 0 1 ; 2
> # add 3 observations for out of sample forecast
> addobs 3
> # display out-of-sample forecast
> fcasterr 32:01 32:03
>
> The "32:01" and "32:03" above are the starting and ending
observations
> for the forecast. If the hourly data were not notated as "day:hour" you
> might do something like
>
> fcasterr 101 103
>
> (assuming the original data went to obs 100, and you want an
> out-of-sample forecast).
>
> Allin Cottrell
>
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