On Mon, 2015-05-04 at 18:34 +0300, Alecos Papadopoulos wrote:
Graham,
I verified using your data set that Gretl calculates correctly the
Breusch-Pagan LM test for heteroskedasticity, as described in the
original paper,
A Simple Test for Heteroscedasticity and Random Coefficient Variation
Author(s): T. S. Breusch and A. R. Pagan
Source: Econometrica, Vol. 47, No. 5 (Sep., 1979), pp. 1287-1294
Published by: The Econometric Society
Stable URL:
http://www.jstor.org/stable/1911963
The auxiliary regression is performed using the scaled squared
residuals as Dependent variable (as indicated in the Gretl's output),
and the statistic is 0.5*R^2*(Total Sum of Squares of the Dependent
Variable), the R^2 from this auxiliary regression, where I used the
exact same regression matrix of the main regression (constant + the
three regressors)
The scaling of the squared residual series is by the maximum
likelihood estimator for the variance from the original model, ie. sum
of squared residuals divided by nobs (not nobs-1).
Maddala's Econometrics textbook (2001, 3d ed. pp 205-207) explains
the relation of the above statistic with the approach you implemented
(correctly) by hand, which is the "usual" way to obtain an LM
statistic.
But these are only asymptotically equivalent, and in practice the
estimated sigma^4 is involved, whose estimation is seriously biased in
any case for samples much larger than yours.
So I do not think there is any bug or computational mistake involved,
just an (educative) case of asymptotic equivalence not materializing
at finite-sample level.
Personally I would go with the original Breusch-Pagan test statistic.
OK, thanks everybody. I think I get it, and sorry for not going back to
the source.
What brought this up was a student using both the White and
Breusch-Pagan tests and seeing (as you do) completely different P-
values for each (0.485 vs 0.000360) So, how can I explain that to him? I
initially thought there had to be a mistake since in my mind the
Breusch-Pagan test was just the White test with some interaction terms
taken out, but I see now that's not the case.
many thanks,
Graham
--
Graham Stark, Virtual Worlds Research
http://www.virtual-worlds-research.com
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