I realized that I am a bit confused as to what happens with the various
VCV matrices when Kalman Filter is used together with maximum
likelihood. Assume a time-invariant state space model.
What I understand is the following:
The Kalman Filter will run as usual and will provide the various VCV
estimates as described in Ch. 36 of the user's guide, based, in the end,
on the final ML estimates to obtain the residual series (the etas and
the epsilons).
But at the same time, we may have asked the mle to estimate also the
elements of the VCV matrices, (see eg. the ARMA estimation example
Listing 36.1). This will give us another, different estimate of the VCV
matrices... or will this agree with the KF estimates above, due perhaps
to the fact that this is Normal mle that we necessarily assume?
I am asking in case somebody knows already the answer. If not, I will
probably run various simulations to see what happens.
--
Alecos Papadopoulos PhD
Affiliate Researcher
Dpt of Economics, Athens University of Economics and Business
Foundation for Economic and Industrial Research (IOBE)
web:
alecospapadopoulos.wordpress.com/
ORCID:0000-0003-2441-4550