On 7 March 2012 22:43, Sven Schreiber <svetosch(a)gmx.net> wrote:
On 07.03.2012 23:18, John C Frain wrote:
> 1) I think you will find that
>
> vecm 1 1 Z2 Z1 --rc
>
> estimates your system very well. I dont see the problem.
I think Talha means to see unit roots in the output; which is good news,
however, since the data were constructed to have them.
>
> 3) If the series are not cointegrated then the residuals from the
> cointegrating regression may have a stochastic trend -- thus the
> specification of the test. Hayashi has a very good account of the
> Engle Granger cointegration test.
No, the (OLS) residuals will have mean zero. (Brownian bridge instead of
brownian motion IIRC.) So I tend to agree this could be a bug. BUT:
First due to sample shortening because of lags the exact mean-zero
property may be lost, which complicates things. And I think the model
representation of the residual-based-ADF-test in step 4 may just be
wrong, with the result being correct. You can easily check that by
manually replicating the steps.
Sorry, I think I must get into the habit of thinking before I reply.
You are, of course, correct. As far as I can make out there is no
constant term included in the final regression. Perhaps just the
output needs amendment.
John
hth,
sven
_______________________________________________
Gretl-users mailing list
Gretl-users(a)lists.wfu.edu
http://lists.wfu.edu/mailman/listinfo/gretl-users
--
John C Frain
Economics Department
Trinity College Dublin
Dublin 2
Ireland
www.tcd.ie/Economics/staff/frainj/home.html
mailto:frainj@tcd.ie
mailto:frainj@gmail.com