I have estimated a fixed effects model for 4 entities 15 observations on
each.
In one model (Model 2), the dependent variable has been subject to a prior
logistic transform.
In model 4, I used the Panel logistic regression fixed effect model in
which the dependent variable is transformed within the estimation process.
Both re-assuringly produce the same coefficient estimates. However the
diagnostics on the test of common intercepts are different. In model 4
there is a significant difference at the 7% level, in model 2 it is clearly
non-significant.
Why might these conflicting results arise.?
*Model 2: Fixed-effects, using 60 observations*
Included 4 cross-sectional units
Time-series length = 15
Dependent variable: logit_RER01
coefficient std. error t-ratio p-value
---------------------------------------------------------
const −2.34361 0.168446 −13.91 1.17e-019 ***
EFFORT 0.0121251 0.00258107 4.698 1.80e-05 ***
Mean dependent var −1.585677 S.D. dependent var 0.522564
Sum squared resid 7.732874 S.E. of regression 0.374964
LSDV R-squared 0.520034 Within R-squared 0.286351
LSDV F(4, 55) 14.89787 P-value(F) 2.62e-08
Log-likelihood −23.67039 Akaike criterion 57.34079
Schwarz criterion 67.81251 Hannan-Quinn 61.43685
rho 0.184053 Durbin-Watson 1.345259
Joint test on named regressors -
Test statistic: F(1, 55) = 22.0687
with p-value = P(F(1, 55) > 22.0687) = 1.79828e-005
Test for differing group intercepts -
Null hypothesis: The groups have a common intercept
Test statistic: F(3, 55) = 1.76308
with p-value = P(F(3, 55) > 1.76308) = 0.164948
*Model 4: Fixed-effects logistic, using 60 observations*
*Included 4 cross-sectional units*
Time-series length = 15
Dependent variable: RER01
Robust (HAC) standard errors
yhat =~ E(1 / (1 + exp(-X*b)))
coefficient std. error t-ratio p-value
-------------------------------------------------------
const −2.34361 0.112702 −20.79 0.0002 ***
EFFORT 0.0121251 0.00180297 6.725 0.0067 ***
Statistics based on the transformed data:
Sum squared resid 7.732874 S.E. of regression 0.374964
LSDV R-squared 0.520034 Within R-squared 0.286351
Log-likelihood −23.67039 Akaike criterion 57.34079
Schwarz criterion 67.81251 Hannan-Quinn 61.43685
rho 0.184053 Durbin-Watson 1.345259
Statistics based on the original data:
Mean dependent var 0.181867 S.D. dependent var 0.078366
Sum squared resid 0.195932 S.E. of regression 0.255559
Log-likelihood 96.15616 Akaike criterion −188.3123
Joint test on named regressors -
Test statistic: F(1, 3) = 45.2268
with p-value = P(F(1, 3) > 45.2268) = 0.00671188
Robust test for differing group intercepts -
Null hypothesis: The groups have a common intercept
Test statistic: Welch F(3, 28.2) = 2.51034
with p-value = P(F(3, 28.2) > 2.51034) = 0.0789321
Brian J Revell
Professor Emeritus
Harper Adams University , Shropshire
Current Chair of Defra Economic Advisory Panel
Tel 01952 815237
Tel: +44 1952 728153
Mbl +44 7976 538712
University: +44 1952 815235
alt: email: bjrevell(a)harper-adams.ac.uk