Good day,
During the simulation the following problem occured.
This problem concerns the construction of confidence intervals.
Having developed the ARIMA model (Time Series->ARIMA, using the Exact LikelyHood
method) I made a forecast of the process in а five-year term.
The predicted values were calculated correctly, but all confidence intervals had the same
size (but the must expand with
increasing period of pre-emption).
What is the reason of it?
Alexander