On Tue, 13 Dec 2011, Summers, Peter wrote:
Back to the potential small-sample issue: a VAR with 11 variables and
4
lags has 44 parameters per equation, not counting a constant (or
trend?!). There are also 55 parameters in the covariance matrix. With
100 observations per series, you're asking quite a lot of your data set.
Even if you knew the covariance matrix for sure, you'd have just over 2
obs/parameter for estimating the dynamics. I don't think that's
asymptotic yet, but I could be wrong ;-)
Amen, brother!
Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti
Dipartimento di Economia
Università Politecnica delle Marche
r.lucchetti(a)univpm.it
http://www.econ.univpm.it/lucchetti