On Thu, 14 Dec 2006, javier garcia enriquez wrote:
Could you tell me which criterion follows the ADF test to
select the size of 'p' automatically? Is the Akaike criterio?
That's explained in the help entry for adf, as follows:
If the lag order, k, is greater than 0, then k lags of the
dependent variable are included on the right-hand side of the test
regressions, subject to the following qualification. If the
--test-down option is given, k is taken as the maximum lag and the
actual lag order used is obtained by testing down, using this
algorithm:
1. Estimate the Dickey-Fuller regression with k lags of the
dependent variable.
2. Is the last lag significant? If so, execute the test with lag
order k. Otherwise, let k = k - 1; if k equals 0, execute the test
with lag order 0, else go to step 1.
In the context of step 2 above, "significant" means that the
t-statistic for the last lag has an asymptotic two-sided p-value,
against the normal distribution, of 0.10 or less.
Allin Cottrell