Thank you for your reply. I changed my data
structure and run the vector Autoregression to know the Granger Causality of variables,
when I input the endogenous variables. it comes up with " insufficient degrees of
freedom for regression" what's the problem here?
Thanks Dianpeng
From: gretl-users-request(a)lists.wfu.edu
Subject: Gretl-users Digest, Vol 69, Issue 18
To: gretl-users(a)lists.wfu.edu
Date: Thu, 18 Oct 2012 09:07:15 -0400
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Today's Topics:
1. Re: forecasting with exponential smoothing (Pedro Ba??o)
2. Granger Causality test in Gretl (?? ?)
3. Re: Granger Causality test in Gretl (H?lio Guilherme)
4. Re: Granger Causality test in Gretl (Allin Cottrell)
5. Gamma distribution in gretl? (mariusz doszy?)
6. Gretl on Mac OS X 10.8.2 (Luc Hens)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Message: 1
Date: Wed, 17 Oct 2012 17:22:40 +0100
From: Pedro Ba??o <pmab(a)fe.uc.pt>
Subject: Re: [Gretl-users] forecasting with exponential smoothing
To: walt(a)dataanalyticscorp.com, Gretl list <gretl-users(a)lists.wfu.edu>
Message-ID:
<CAMwCGMeAUXnL+vjR4mhfEwp5n0h41=MvypSJRbw8r1zF82FSSA(a)mail.gmail.com>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1"
perhaps this will do it:
smpl 1 20
series x=movavg(y,0.5) # change the parameter 0.5
smpl 21 25
series f=x[20]
matrix f_stats=fcstats(y,f)
f_stats
smpl full
where y is the series to forecast, f has the forecasts, x is the smoothed
series and f_stats is the matrix with the forecast statistics. You can then
plot y and f. For a moving average, set the parameter 0.5 to an integer>1.
On 15 October 2012 12:04, Data Analytics Corp.
<walt(a)dataanalyticscorp.com>wrote:
> Hi,
>
> I'd like to illustrate for students forecasting for just a few
> steps-ahead with simple exponential smoothing. The filter option allows
> for exponential smoothing (the movavg function does the same) but I
> can't get a forecast with a forecast graph and forecast errors similar
> to what I get with, say, the AR option in modeling. In particular, if I
> have 25 observations, I'd like to set the sample size to the first 20,
> do the smoothing, forecast the next 5, graph all 25 along with the 5
> forecasted values, and calculate error statistics for the 5 forecasted
> values using the 5 hold-out values. How can I do this? Is there a
> script that would accomplish what I want? I'd like to also do the same
> for a simple moving average.
>
> Thanks,
>
> Walt
>
> ________________________
>
> Walter R. Paczkowski, Ph.D.
> Data Analytics Corp.
> 44 Hamilton Lane
> Plainsboro, NJ 08536
> ________________________
> (V) 609-936-8999
> (F) 609-936-3733
> walt(a)dataanalyticscorp.com
>
www.dataanalyticscorp.com
> _____________________________________________________
> _______________________________________________
> Gretl-users mailing list
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>
http://lists.wfu.edu/mailman/listinfo/gretl-users
>
>
>
>
>
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Message: 2
Date: Wed, 17 Oct 2012 21:52:16 +0000
From: ?? ? <dianpenginuk(a)live.cn>
Subject: [Gretl-users] Granger Causality test in Gretl
To: <gretl-users(a)lists.wfu.edu>
Message-ID: <BAY170-W25C4C656BBC69EC5CB8F3FC8770(a)phx.gbl>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="gb2312"
To whom it may concern,
Sorry to bother you. I am a student from University of Glasgow UK. For my dissertation
purpose I need to run Granger Causality tests using Gretl. I am using panel data,
"time series" function didn't work? Would you mind giving me some advice on
the following questions:
Is the Granger Causality test for autoregression?
How to run Granger Causality in Gretl using panel data? Do I need to change my data
structure to time series in order to finish the Granger causality test of variables.
Thank you for your time
Best regardsDianpeng
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Message: 3
Date: Thu, 18 Oct 2012 00:05:01 +0100
From: H?lio Guilherme <helioxentric(a)gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [Gretl-users] Granger Causality test in Gretl
To: Gretl list <gretl-users(a)lists.wfu.edu>
Message-ID:
<CABNCgGSAaRJhAchtYA5dnu_s0usm7qj+ygDJsFJdS78exDT3iQ(a)mail.gmail.com>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8
Hi,
I did a simple query in Google and found an explanation for the
Granger-causality test at
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Granger_causality
It does seems to be applicable only to time-series.
I recommend to get better references on that matter.
What does the excelent Gretl documentation (Reference or Guide) say about it?
Good luck.
On Wed, Oct 17, 2012 at 10:52 PM, ?? ? <dianpenginuk(a)live.cn> wrote:
> To whom it may concern,
>
> Sorry to bother you. I am a student from University of Glasgow UK. For my
> dissertation purpose I need to run Granger Causality tests using Gretl. I
> am using panel data, "time series" function didn't work? Would you
mind
> giving me some advice on the following questions:
>
> Is the Granger Causality test for autoregression?
>
> How to run Granger Causality in Gretl using panel data? Do I need to change
> my data structure to time series in order to finish the Granger causality
> test of variables.
>
> Thank you for your time
>
> Best regards
> Dianpeng
>
>
>
> _______________________________________________
> Gretl-users mailing list
> Gretl-users(a)lists.wfu.edu
>
http://lists.wfu.edu/mailman/listinfo/gretl-users
------------------------------
Message: 4
Date: Wed, 17 Oct 2012 20:02:50 -0400 (EDT)
From: Allin Cottrell <cottrell(a)wfu.edu>
Subject: Re: [Gretl-users] Granger Causality test in Gretl
To: Gretl list <gretl-users(a)lists.wfu.edu>
Message-ID: <alpine.LFD.2.01.1210171952360.1488@myrtle>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="gb2312"
On Wed, 17 Oct 2012, ?? ? wrote:
> Sorry to bother you. I am a student from University of Glasgow UK.
> For my dissertation purpose I need to run Granger Causality tests
> using Gretl. I am using panel data, "time series" function didn't
> work? Would you mind giving me some advice on the following
> questions:
> Is the Granger Causality test for autoregression?
The Granger test is not "for" autoregression, but it is conducted in
the framework of a vector autoregression (VAR).
> How to run Granger Causality in Gretl using panel data? Do I need
> to change my data structure to time series in order to finish the
> Granger causality test of variables.
The theory of Granger causality is well developed for the time
series case. For panel data it is more complicated; for one thing
you'd have to decide if the causality result is supposed to be in
common ("homogeneous") across your panel units, or not. If you
google "Granger causality panel data" you'll find discussions of
this.
In gretl, Granger causality tests are provided among the results
when estimating a VAR, but the "var" command is not available for
panel data, only time series. I think this is true of most
econometric software. Gretl scripting has the flexibility to allow
you to construct a related test for panel data, if you can figure
out exactly what it is you want to test.
Allin Cottrell
------------------------------
Message: 5
Date: Thu, 18 Oct 2012 10:35:20 +0200
From: mariusz doszy? <madosz(a)wp.pl>
Subject: [Gretl-users] Gamma distribution in gretl?
To: "gretl-users" <gretl-users(a)lists.wfu.edu>
Message-ID: <507fbf48de9c76.68846749(a)wp.pl>
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Message: 6
Date: Thu, 18 Oct 2012 14:58:17 +0200
From: Luc Hens <luc.hens.econ(a)vub.ac.be>
Subject: [Gretl-users] Gretl on Mac OS X 10.8.2
To: gretl-users(a)lists.wfu.edu
Message-ID: <8C8B3547-A0CF-46D5-8D7D-99E4946B73B2(a)vub.ac.be>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="windows-1252"
I installed Gretl on a MacBook Pro running OS X 10.8.2. When I leave Gretl in the disk
image, it runs fine. However, when I move Gretl to the Applications folder it appears
greyed out (and with a no-go trafiic sign across the icon) and won't run. Does anyone
know what is going on and how to fix this?
L u c H e n s
-------------------------------------------------------
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Pleinlaan 2 ? Room C2.146 ? B-1050 Brussels ? Belgium
office hours: Wednesdays 13:00-16:00, Karel Van Miert building (Pleinlaan 5), mezzanine
e-mail: luc.hens.econ(a)vub.ac.be
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