On Wed, 17 Sep 2014, Michael Boldin wrote:
I doubt that you can restrict the two equations to have the same
variance. They will simply be based on the fit of the estimated a1 and
a2 coefficients. The reason is that VAR coefficients do not depend on
the system's var-cov matrix when maximizing the likelihood function
(unless for some reason the restrictions create a dependence -- but I
fairly sure they do not). This is generally the consequence of having
the same right hand side variables in each equation.
[...]
Yes, but the VAR coefficients are restricted in Dominik's model. That's
why the covariance matrix matters. And besides, even if you leave the VAR
coefficients unconstrained, you can still put restrictions on the
covariance matrix; after all, this is exactly what structural VARs are
about.
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Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti
Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali (DiSES)
Università Politecnica delle Marche
(formerly known as Università di Ancona)
r.lucchetti(a)univpm.it
http://www2.econ.univpm.it/servizi/hpp/lucchetti
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