On Sat, 31 Mar 2012, Daniel Bencik wrote:
Allin, correct dataset is
here:
http://eubie.sweb.cz/gretl_forum/allrng_allin.gdt
The first 22 missing observation were removed in HAR modeling.
Again, the skewed variant of the t density looks much better to me:
<hansl>
open
http://eubie.sweb.cz/gretl_forum/allrng_allin.gdt
include gig.gfn
moo = gig_setup(allRng,1,const,null,7)
gig_set_dist(&moo,3)
gig_estimate(&moo)
</hansl>
yields:
Model: GARCH(1,1) [Bollerslev] (Skewed T)
Dependent variable: allRng
Sample: 2007/11/20-2011/11/09 (T = 992), VCV method: Robust
Conditional mean equation
coefficient std. error z p-value
-------------------------------------------------------
const 0.00358468 0.000457851 7.829 4.90e-15 ***
AR1 0.129156 0.0313980 4.114 3.90e-05 ***
AR2 0.121689 0.0311499 3.907 9.36e-05 ***
AR3 0.0752985 0.0261992 2.874 0.0041 ***
AR4 0.105514 0.0276418 3.817 0.0001 ***
AR5 0.0667961 0.0273828 2.439 0.0147 **
AR6 0.0693248 0.0225564 3.073 0.0021 ***
AR7 0.116931 0.0296532 3.943 8.04e-05 ***
Conditional variance equation
coefficient std. error z p-value
---------------------------------------------------------
omega 6.65636e-07 4.21231e-07 1.580 0.1141
alpha 0.0373254 0.0165827 2.251 0.0244 **
beta 0.923552 0.0389155 23.73 1.68e-124 ***
Conditional density parameters
coefficient std. error z p-value
------------------------------------------------------
ni 10.3048 2.77794 3.709 0.0002 ***
lambda 0.581766 0.0683239 8.515 1.67e-17 ***
Llik: 4101.20099 AIC: -8176.40197
BIC: -8112.70557 HQC: -8152.18346
Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti
Dipartimento di Economia
Università Politecnica delle Marche
(formerly known as Università di Ancona)
r.lucchetti(a)univpm.it
http://www2.econ.univpm.it/servizi/hpp/lucchetti