On 18.08.2023 14:55, Brian Revell wrote:
Hi Marcin
I will prepare a quick brief of what I am attempting to emulate plus
some real data. The overall exercise is slightly more complicated than
fitting a simple Bayesian trend as will become clear when I explain
the methodology and its application.. You can then decide a) whether
what they are doing can be replicated without knowledge of the prior
they use; or b) whether what they are doing is really so full of
statistical problems that the approach is essentially so theoretically
weak that the context of using it for projection purposes is
invalid/meaningless -which is my view -but I would appreciate that of
Bayesian experts. Essentially in frequentist terms it is so
oversimplistic as to be meaningless.
OK!!!
Marcin
--
Marcin Błażejowski