So should I just use garch (0 2) for arch (2) ? And assume the garch (0 2) is the right
one?
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-----Original Message-----
From: Allin Cottrell <cottrell(a)wfu.edu>
Sender: gretl-users-bounces(a)lists.wfu.edu
Date: Mon, 28 Feb 2011 21:13:16
To: Gretl list<gretl-users(a)lists.wfu.edu>
Reply-To: Gretl list <gretl-users(a)lists.wfu.edu>
Subject: Re: [Gretl-users] ARCH and GARCH
On Tue, 1 Mar 2011, zhuhongming wrote:
I used the data in the attachment to run ARCH (2) and GARCH
(0,2), i assumed they would give me the same result but they did
not.
They don't give the same results because (a) the estimators are
completely different and (b) the model is misspecified. gretl's
"arch" command is not much recommended other than for pedagogical
purposes; it's a rather basic feasible generalized least squares
thing (as explained in the help text), while the "garch" command
does the job properly via Maximum Likelihood.
In some cases the estimates may be fairly close, but I suspect
that misspecification here has something to do with the big gap
between the sets of alpha estimates.
I say the model is misspecified because if you run a GARCH(1,1)
you'll see that it dominates GARCH(0,2): the likelihood is much
higher.
open nasdaq.dat
setobs 1 1 --special
garch 0 2 ; re const
ll02 = $lnl
garch 1 1 ; re const
lldiff = $lnl - ll02
Allin Cottrell
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