Thanks a lot.
Agustin Aloonso-Rodriguez
-----Mensaje original-----
De: gretl-users-request(a)gretlml.univpm.it <gretl-users-request(a)gretlml.univpm.it>
Enviado el: sábado, 12 de noviembre de 2022 0:00
Para: gretl-users(a)gretlml.univpm.it
Asunto: Gretl-users Digest, Vol 190, Issue 18
Send Gretl-users mailing list submissions to
gretl-users(a)gretlml.univpm.it
To subscribe or unsubscribe via email, send a message with subject or body 'help'
to
gretl-users-request(a)gretlml.univpm.it
You can reach the person managing the list at
gretl-users-owner(a)gretlml.univpm.it
When replying, please edit your Subject line so it is more specific than "Re:
Contents of Gretl-users digest..."
Today's Topics:
1. Re: VAR modeling (Cottrell, Allin)
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Date: Fri, 11 Nov 2022 15:49:50 -0500
From: "Cottrell, Allin" <cottrell(a)wfu.edu>
Subject: [Gretl-users] Re: VAR modeling
To: Gretl list <gretl-users(a)gretlml.univpm.it>
Message-ID:
<CA+BOgOAzH_JAytimC9ENt-s+cRdLY21AKNShdhDARtHAR+ZkNg(a)mail.gmail.com>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="UTF-8"
On Fri, Nov 11, 2022 at 5:28 AM Agustín Alonso Rodríguez
<aalonso(a)rcumariacristina.com> wrote:
How to refine or simplify a VAR model suppressing the insignificant estimated coefs?
You have a reply from Sven, noting that gretl does not currently have a built-in procedure
for what you describe. That's true, but I'll offer a somewhat different
perspective.
When you estimate a VAR with p lags of each variable, you should not be too concerned with
the "statistical significance" of each coefficient -- and not too quick to
eliminate terms that are "insignificant". If the VAR is in levels, in
particular, it's likely that the several lags of a given variable will be strongly
correlated.
This then gives you the classic "multicollinearity" effect, whereby each
individual coefficient may be "insignificant" yet a joint test strongly rejects
the null hypothesis that the "collinear" variables all have coefficients equal
to zero. Gretl shows you the joint (F) tests after estimating a VAR -- that is, tests for
Granger causality
-- and you might be better off using these to eliminate one or more variables from your
specification (if warranted) rather than worrying about individual lagged terms.
Allin Cottrell
------------------------------
Subject: Digest Footer
_______________________________________________
Gretl-users mailing list -- gretl-users(a)gretlml.univpm.it To unsubscribe send an email to
gretl-users-leave(a)gretlml.univpm.it
Website:
https://gretlml.univpm.it/postorius/lists/gretl-users.gretlml.univpm.it/
------------------------------
End of Gretl-users Digest, Vol 190, Issue 18
********************************************