Hi all,
I am using Gretl with a class of graduate students and for one of the
assignments they have to estimate the optimum GARCH specification based on
their data. Each student uses different stock prices as the variable in
question.
When they use both options:
1. Model > Time Series > GARCH
2. Model > TIme Series > GARCH Variants
We seldom get results as the vats majority of models do not converge. This
makes it very difficult to use Gretl in class. Why is this? What is the
problem?
The same data with the same specification run and get results in Eviews for
example.
Bellow I have estimated an AR(10) model with an ARCH(1) specification just
to show you the problem.
Using Gretl I get this:
(alternative link:
http://i64.tinypic.com/23sc5zq.jpg)
[image: screenshot_1895.jpg]
And using Eviews with exactly the same specification and data I get this:
(alternative link:
http://i65.tinypic.com/2yv3vj6.jpg)
[image: screenshot_1896.jpg]
And this happens a lot of times with alternative ARCH/GARCH specifications
rendering Gretl impossible to use in class for these types of models.
Any ideas?
PG
*Periklis Gogas
<
http://www.econ.duth.gr/personel/dep/gkogkas/index.en.shtml>*
Associate Professor
of Economic Analysis and International Economics
Department of Economics, Democritus University of Thrace
Associate Editor - Journal of Economic Asymmetries
<
https://www.journals.elsevier.com/the-journal-of-economic-asymmetries/>
Euro Area Business Cycle Network - Fellow
<
http://www.eabcn.org/person/periklis-gogas>
The Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis - Fellow
<
http://www.rcfea.org/component/option,com_frontpage/Itemid,1/>
The Society for Economic Measurement - Member
<
http://sem.society.cmu.edu/home.html>
Institute for Nonlinear Dynamical Inference (INDI) - Charter Fellow
<
http://icemr.ru/institute-for-nonlinear-dynamical-inference/>
Σύγχρονοι Ελληνικοί Μύθοι
<
http://www.public.gr/product/syghronoi-ellinikoi-mythoi/prod9040056pp/?so...
- το νέο μου βιβλίο