There are various new things going on that would be nice to have
tested as thoroughly as possible. I'll mention 3 points.
1) The build for MS Windows: I've updated my cross-compiler
to gcc 4.5.2 and have built new blas and lapack DLLs using
lapack 3.3.0. I've also updated the gnuplot build to current
CVS. Let me know if this has broken anything, please.
2) Tobit, intreg, heckit: We've re-implemented the tobit command
and we now support user-specification of the limit(s) for left-
and/or right-censoring. In addition Jack has coded the analytical
Hessian for these models and we're experimenting with
Newton-Raphson iteration rather than BFGS for finding the MLE. If
you work with models of this sort, please try out the new code.
3) Johansen cointegration test in the presence of exogenous
regressors. For a long time we've reported the standard asymptotic
p-values for the trace and lambda-max tests, while issuing a
warning that these are not valid when exogenous regessors are
included. We now (after a useful correspondence with Soren
Johansen) try to do better: we report critical values for the
trace test based on Harbo, Johansen, Nielsen and Rahbek,
"Asymptotic Inference on Cointegrating Rank in Partial Systems"
(Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 16/4, October 1998).
The critical values were re-simulated in gretl with 50,000
replications.
There remain some doubts about what to do (a) if the exogenous
variables are just dummies, and (b) in the cases where the
highest-order deterministic term is unrestricted (i.e.
unrestricted constant, or constant plus unrestricted trend). Harbo
et al show that the distribution of the trace test contains
uneliminable nuisance parameters in the latter cases (and Johansen
is not confident that CATS is doing the right thing).
Allin