On Thu, 1 May 2008, Sven Schreiber wrote:
Am 01.05.2008 14:03, Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti schrieb:
> On Thu, 1 May 2008, Sven Schreiber wrote:
>
>> Am 01.05.2008 12:54, Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti schrieb:
>>
>>>
>>> Moreover, we have a slight inconsistency in the way we compute things:
>>> $sigma uses the asymptotic formula (ie, E'E over T), while in the
>>> displayed equations we use degrees-of-freedom corrected figures for
>>> standard errors. I'm not overly bothered by this, but some may.
>>
>> What about $sigma in other contexts, is that asymptotic or dof-corrected?
>> I think that should be made consistent.
>
> I'm all for consistency in general, but this case is difficult. In OLS
> estimation, for example, SSR/T and SSR/(T-k) are both consistent, but the
> latter has the additional small advantage of being unbiased under certain
> conditions, so that's traditionally what people use. I personally think
> it's rather silly to worry about this when you have a decent sample size;
> if you don't, well, I doubt very much you should be doing inference _at
> all_.
>
> In other contexts, Tobit models for example, you simply don't have a
> choice. In my view, the really important thing is that you know which
> formula is used in each case, so that if you feel like re-computing $sigma
> to your taste, you have the tools to do it.
>
I just meant "consistent definition" across the various contexts of $sigma,
not consistent in the statistical sense. So if you are saying $sigma for
Tobit models is w/o dof correction out of necessity but for OLS it currently
is dof-corrected, then I would suggest the rule: "$sigma has a dof correction
if at all feasible". That would mean dof correction for the VAR/VECM $sigma.
BTW, I remember we had a discussion in the context of the vcv of the betas in
the VECM, but I don't remember the result. Is there a dof correction there in
the end? (I know I know it's probably in the manual...)
Sorry, my answer wan't clear. The meaning I gave to the word "consistency"
is exactly the same as yours. My point is, in some contexts you use dof
correction because, well, that's what people do and in some other contexts
you don't because... people don't!
If this does not sound particularly scientific, too bad. Mrs McCloskey and
Mr Feyerabend (among others) wouldn't find it shocking, though.
Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti
Dipartimento di Economia
Università Politecnica delle Marche
r.lucchetti(a)univpm.it
http://www.econ.univpm.it/lucchetti